Current community forecast
No 81.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Mar 22, 23, 3:15 PM UTCMar 2, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
There wil lbe an LLM released in China which many Chinese people can use (possibly with the normal ID verification, etc.).
- It should be in broad release, either to the public or available in large companies or universities.
- It will be censored according to the contemporary Chinese CCP Censorship regime.
- Its supporting AI technology is provided or supported by Microsoft or openAI
- If OpenAI / MS split, the claim covers both of them.
- If OpenAI tech goes open source/or is stolen and China or some other country runs it, without MS/OpenAI cooperation, that does not make this market resolve Yes.
