Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast2026 34.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 25, 8:13 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
current net worth USD: ~0, mana: 320k
- Update 2026-09-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is a linked market, meaning all options will resolve at the same time.