What are the current odds for Major Worm adaptation before 2040? (Movie/TV/Show)?

Manifold Markets prices No at 97.6% as of October 31, 2026.

How is Major Worm adaptation before 2040? (Movie/TV/Show) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Worm is a story about a supervillain with the power to control bugs link

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 97.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Stale

Jun 23, 25, 2:43 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Worm is a story about a supervillain with the power to control bugs link

A movie or show that explicitly takes place in the world of Worm but tells a different story DOES count for the purposes of this market.
Adaption must fulfill these requirements:
Total runtime of 69 minutes or more (not counting commercials, credits, recaps, etc)
Budget of at least [number A] OR gross box office of at least [number B] OR receive at least [number C] views
For the purpose of this market this is meant to be a very low threshold, it's ok if it's not very good as long as I don't utterly hate it