Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 23, 12:05 AM UTCJan 1, 40, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Context: https://www.reuters.com/technology/cybersecurity/us-will-be-forced-curtail-crypto-if-industry-fails-act-illicit-finance-threats-2023-11-29/
- The way this works out in practice is that if any bank or regulated exchange has the slightest suspicion that one of their customers might be up to something shady, they summarily ban them and refuse to give any explanation why.
- This goes against the spirit of the due process clause and civil rights law.
- This is an unconstitutional use of the government to coerce private companies into doing things that the government would not have the authority to do directly — the “hiring a hitman makes it not murder” theory of jurisprudence.
- Resolves Yes if due to judicial intervention the government no longer coerces banks and exchanges to deprive people of financial services without due process
