Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.8%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 23, 26, 8:57 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution Criteria
- GTA 6 is officially scheduled to release on November 19, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive announces any delay to this date before or on November 19, 2026.
- The announcement must come from official sources (Rockstar's Newswire, Take-Two earnings calls, or official social media accounts).
- This market resolves NO if the game releases on November 19, 2026 as currently scheduled, or if no delay is announced by that date.
- GTA 6 was originally planned to launch in Fall 2025 before being delayed to May 26, 2026, and more recently pushed back to November 19, 2026.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-1.0pt50%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5M
- 24h Vol
- $104.5K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+16.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.4K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.8M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $356.5K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+33.0pt76%
- 70-80M-34.0pt23%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is GTA 6 getting delayed again in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Is GTA 6 getting delayed again in 2026? resolve?
- Is GTA 6 getting delayed again in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Is GTA 6 getting delayed again in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria