Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.1%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 23, 26, 8:57 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution Criteria
- GTA 6 is officially scheduled to release on November 19, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive announces any delay to this date before or on November 19, 2026.
- The announcement must come from official sources (Rockstar's Newswire, Take-Two earnings calls, or official social media accounts).
- This market resolves NO if the game releases on November 19, 2026 as currently scheduled, or if no delay is announced by that date.
- GTA 6 was originally planned to launch in Fall 2025 before being delayed to May 26, 2026, and more recently pushed back to November 19, 2026.