In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
Entertainment
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 89.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 23, 24, 10:11 AM UTCMar 1, 87, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name.
- The question will resolve to the year the first readers actually receive their copies (physical or digital), not to any pre-order date.
- Beta readers and any form of early access are excluded from this question.
- Any member of the public needs to be able to order a book and receive it for the question to resolve.
- I will add additional years over time.
- If it becomes clear it will never be published this resolves to 'Other'.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? resolve?
- In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2187.
- How is In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name.