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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2025-2030 98.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 24, 4:13 AM UTCJan 2, 60, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
