Current community forecast
2025-2030 98.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 24, 4:13 AM UTCJan 2, 60, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
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0.1%
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0.1%
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0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiMLS Cup Champion
GeminiTop Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiRules
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport??
- Manifold Markets prices 2025-2030 at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? resolve?
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2060.
- How is In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market will resolve...