Current community forecast
No 87.5%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 5, 26, 4:05 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
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KalshiWill any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
- Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
- The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
- If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.