Current community forecast
No 87.5%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 5, 26, 4:05 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Kalshi2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
- Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
- The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
- If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? resolve?
- Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.