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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Which tennis player will announce their retirement first?
Manifold Markets

Which tennis player will announce their retirement first?

Foreign ExchangeOne-OffTennisSports1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Venus Williams 12.7%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters

3

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale
Jun 10, 26, 8:05 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Venus Williams13%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the player among the listed options who first officially announces their retirement from professional tennis.
  • First Announcement: Resolution is determined by the timestamp (converted to UTC) of the player's first public, official announcement, not by the effective date of retirement.
  • This includes statements posted on their verified social media accounts, official press conferences, or direct interviews with major press outlets.
  • The announcement must be made after the creation of this market.
  • Scope of Retirement: The announcement must represent retirement from all professional tour-level tennis (ATP/WTA).

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the player among the listed options who first officially announces their retirement from professional tennis.
  • First Announcement: Resolution is determined by the timestamp (converted to UTC) of the player's first public, official announcement, not by the effective date of retirement.
  • This includes statements posted on their verified social media accounts, official press conferences, or direct interviews with major press outlets.
  • The announcement must be made after the creation of this market.
  • Scope of Retirement: The announcement must represent retirement from all professional tour-level tennis (ATP/WTA).