Current community forecast
No 78.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 7:20 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 8:08 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any time before January 1, 2028, an autonomous robot defeats an active (non-retired) athlete who has won an Olympic gold medal in table tennis in a standard match, or if a robot is officially recognized as having beaten an Olympic champion in a documented, competitive table tennis match.
- The match must be played under International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF) rules or similar professional standards.
- A "robot" is defined as a machine utilizing artificial intelligence to autonomously control paddle movement and ball tracking in real-time, without human remote operation.
- Table tennis is a high-speed sport requiring extreme precision, rapid reaction times, and tactical adaptation, making it a benchmark challenge for robotics and AI.
- While robotic systems have been developed to play table tennis, they have historically struggled against elite human players due to the speed and spin complexities inherent in professional play.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? resolve?
- Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria