Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 61%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 7:51 PM UTCMar 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill the Jan-27 platinum futures settle above $1,700 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Jan-27 platinum futures settle above $1,750 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExRules
This market tracks PGM 6E production at the facility level.
- Facility: Impala Platinum operations in Zimbabwe
- Basket type: PGM 6E (contains platinum, palladium, rhodium, and other PGMs)
- Coverage period: Trailing 12 months (TTM) ending 2026-12-31
- Settlement delay: 2 months (observation date = March 1, 2027)
- Baseline (2026): 130,000 ozt
