If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?
One-OffSociety & CultureScienceManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUFOs are a product of a massive conspiracy unrelated to non-human entities 21%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
60
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 23, 10:27 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market is intended to aggregate the most likely reasons why UFO's have word-view shattering origins (for Eliezer Yudkowsky), and reward those who thought of them first.
- In most worlds, I expect this market to resolve "N/A", but who doesn't like the idea of finding the best conspiracy theory.
- I will resolve it to the answer that closest/most specificly details why, so long as it was posted prior to the "worldview shattering event" becoming public knowledge.
- If my resolution appears to controversial, I am quite happy to let a group of trustworthy-ish users/admins re-resolve it.
- This question resolves N/A if Eliezer wins this bet:
- (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/t5W87hQF5gKyTofQB/?commentId=rsKjPAPqeFwQuNibD)Kudos to @Joshua's market for bringing this bet to my attention.
