Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Participate in 10th anniversary 602 race 100%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 11, 23, 7:46 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRules
If you add an answer that inspires me to do something which I in retrospect am incredibly happy about I will be very grateful and might reward with some mana.
- Good chance I will stream any video games I play at https://twitch.tv/aprilsr
- I'll probably do lots of high-scoring answers and randomly choose a few low-scoring answers
- "Great" is to be determined by me.
- Maybe something sorta like "do I feel like I would've been missing out on a lot if I hadn't done the activity"?
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $344.8K
- 24h Vol
- $102.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.8pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+6.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.8pt63%
- 80-90M+3.0pt35%
- 60-70M-4.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $32.7K
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If April does X will she think it was a great idea in retrospect??
- Manifold Markets prices Participate in 10th anniversary 602 race at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If April does X will she think it was a great idea in retrospect? resolve?
- If April does X will she think it was a great idea in retrospect? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is If April does X will she think it was a great idea in retrospect? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If you add an answer that inspires me to do something which I in retrospect am incredibly happy about I will be very grateful and might reward with some mana.