KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Noah Wyle 88.8%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 8, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 14, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
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KalshiEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series
PolymarketEmmys 2026: Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series
FutuurEmmys 2026: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
FutuurRules
If the named outcome has won Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Academy of Television Arts & Sciences
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Emmys.
- Any references to the Emmys, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Emmys and Kalshi.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $344.8K
- 24h Vol
- $102.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.8pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+6.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 70-80M+8.8pt63%
- 80-90M+3.0pt35%
- 60-70M-4.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $32.7K
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?
- Kalshi prices Noah Wyle at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series resolve?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2027.
- How is Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has won Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.