Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 53.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 25, 6:48 PM UTCJan 11, 70, 6:36 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
PolymarketRules
Resolves "the named outcome" if, while still married, it appears that Taylor & Travis will be immortal (e.g. life expectancy increasing at a rate of more than one year per year, sustained for an extended period of time) and they credibly commit to never breaking up (e.g. by self-modification).
- Resolves "the named outcome" if the marriage breaks up and there is any hint of acrimony.
- (I will be fairly generous in what qualifies for this, since the public view will be heavily filtered.
- If there aren't public indications that they're still friendly, it's probably gone down in flames.
- As a point of reference, the Joe Alwyn breakup would qualify as going down in flames.)
- Resolves "the named outcome" upon credible reporting that they have split before getting married (regardless of whether they later get back together).
