This market resolved: 14 or more (99%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 11:21 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
14 or more
At 7 days out
64%
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusCurrent community forecast14 or more 99%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 4:04 PMJun 30, 26, 11:21 AM
Probability Timeline
8 or fewer0.6%
90.6%
100.7%
110.9%
122.6%
130.2%
14 or more76.8%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 14 or more
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Closed
Resolved
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 more outcomes
38 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$734.3K
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 more outcomes
25 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$55.5K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
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Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.