Current implied probability
14+ 100%+9.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-33.5 pts
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 7:04 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
130%
14+100%
122%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 14+
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Closed
Resolved
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 more outcomes
38 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$734.3K
KALSHI
Also available on Manifold Markets
How many successful SpaceX launches in June 2026 UTC
Closed
Resolved
14 or more (99%)
+1.0pt99%
-0.2pt0.2%
-0.2pt0.2%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
$22.9K$0.70-$0.80T: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?
$11.4KMoonshot: 90%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.1KSpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Starship milestone dates megamarket
$661.8Reach orbit by end of 2024: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
$351.2Before 2024-10-01: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat milestones will Artemis 3 achieve?
$286.5Launch by EoY 2027: 27.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Nvidia forms 37-member AI security alliance without OpenAI, Anthropic or GoogleCoindesk
Circle buys nearly 1,000 blockchain patents from IBMCoindesk
NVIDIA Vera CPU Powers Faster Chip Design for Next-Gen GPUsBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA, Applied Materials Accelerate Semiconductor InnovationBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA (NVDA) Expands Toolkit With PhysicsNeMo and CUDA-XBlockchain.News
NAVER, NVIDIA, Brookfield to Triple Korea AI Factory to 200 MW by 2028Blockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.