Current implied probability
Above 15 7%+3.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$494.4
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 2, 26, 12:00 AMJul 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above 157%
Related Markets
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
$15Above 140: 87%
KALSHI
KALSHI
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
$2.1KUp: 52%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Spacex close above a $2.5 Trillion Market Cap on it's first day of trading (IPO)?
$2.8KYes: 16.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?
$58.6KElon Musk: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?
$25.4K↑$150: 92%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?
$7.1KYes: 79.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX has more than 11 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 12 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.