KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 13 (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 5:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 13
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityAbove 13 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$734.3K
Liquidity
$18.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 12:00 AMJul 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Above 141%
Above 181%
Above 1299%
Above 1399%
Above 1199%
1%
1%
99%
1%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Above 13
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 more outcomes
25 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$55.5K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
How many successful SpaceX launches in June 2026 UTC
Closed
Resolved
14 or more (99%)
+1.0pt99%
-0.2pt0.2%
-0.2pt0.2%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX has more than 11 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 12 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX has more than 11 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 12 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.