Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlabasta Saga 96.6%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 24, 26, 12:12 AM UTCMar 23, 27, 10:02 PM UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the arcs that the Netflix live-action One Piece series covers before cancellation or conclusion.
- Season 1 covered the East Blue Saga, and Season 2 (released March 10, 2026) covers Loguetown through the Drum Island Arc.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest arc/saga completed and aired on Netflix.
- After two seasons, the live-action adaptation has covered 154 chapters of the original manga, representing roughly 13% of the total story.
- Creator Eiichiro Oda has confirmed that the live-action version has an intended endpoint.