Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBenjamin Evan Ainsworth as Link 98.9%Leader of 32 outcomes
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 8, 23, 6:20 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Live-Action Legend of Zelda movie be “Certified Fresh” on Rotten Tomatoes? [Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsWill anyone say the words "excuse me, princess" in the upcoming live-action Legend of Zelda movie?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the live-action Legend of Zelda movie be released?
Manifold MarketsMiles Morales live-action film actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiAvengers: Doomsday: Cast
KalshiRules
Please submit answers in the form of "[Actor name] as [Zelda character]".
- You will get unique trader bonuses when people trade on your answers!
- If an actor is cast in the role they have been submitted as, I will resolve that option as Yes.
- If an actor is in the movie but not as the role they were submitted as, I will resolve the option to 50%.
- If the actor is not cast in the movie, I will resolve the option to No. Options also resolve no if there is no live action legend of zelda movie by market close.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role??
- Manifold Markets prices Benjamin Evan Ainsworth as Link at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role? resolve?
- Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Please submit answers in the form of "[Actor name] as [Zelda character]".