Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, 2:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleSep 5, 25, 10:45 AMAug 1, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+3.0pt16.5%
- Rick Devens+1.0pt16.5%
- Drew Campbell+3.0pt11%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $109.1K
KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 3599%
- Above 4598%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $327.1K
- 24h Vol
- $92.5K
KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+24.0pt91%
- Above 50+11.0pt49%
- Above 55-11.0pt5%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $254.4K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey60%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $35.5K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- Above 13.8M+45.0pt99%
- Above 13.7M+17.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M99%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $98K
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m-5.0pt77.9%
- 570m++3.0pt21.1%
- 530 - 550m-0.8pt1.1%
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- Artist with the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of Aug 2026?
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 2, 2026.
- When does GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026? resolve?
- GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2026.