Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast2050 70.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 20, 24, 7:09 AM UTCDec 31, 51, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
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KalshiBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
Resolves based on our world in data.
- https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales
- Their figure includes plug in hybrids.
- Was 8% in 2022.
- The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.
- I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).
