Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Astra (71.5%)
Resolved: Oct 2, 2026, 10:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Fable 5.128.5%
Astra71.5%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves according to my judgement