By 2030, will I have strong regrets about having created some market about an aspect of my personal life?
One-OffSociety & Culture3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 11, 23, 6:01 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Roughly, for a regret to be strong should mean that I feel that I would counterfactually prefer that I had never discovered Manifold.
- I'll go more by how I feel than a reasoned analysis of the exact impacts (though of course the reasoned analysis will affect how I feel).
- Feel free to ask about hypotheticals, and I'll try to answer whether I would count those as a strong regret.
- I won't bet on this market.
- To avoid any potential moral hazard caused by this market, regret does not count if it seems fairly likely that it was due to the actions of someone trying to manipuate this market.
