By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
EntertainmentAIOne-OffMusic4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 87.4%
Forecasters
55
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 23, 5:03 PM UTCDec 30, 30, 9:29 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If there is a song created primarily by a ML/AI system that's present in the year-end top 100 list by billboard, for any year till 2031, then this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.
- Evidence for the song being significantly AI-generated can be an official blog-post by the group that created that song, or in the song credits, statements by publishing entities, etc.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? resolve?
- By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2030.
- How is By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If there is a song created primarily by a ML/AI system that's present in the year-end top 100 list by billboard, for any year till 2031, then this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.