By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87.4% as of October 25, 2026.

When does By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? resolve?

By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2030.

How is By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If there is a song created primarily by a ML/AI system that's present in the year-end top 100 list by billboard, for any year till 2031, then this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.

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KALSHI

Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 7099.5%
• Above 72+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 6099.5%

+14 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.7M

24h Vol

$130.2K

KALSHI

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

• ICEMAN+6.0pt1%
• NO ME ARREPIENTO DE SENTIR TANTO2.5%
• DANDELION50%

KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

• The Odyssey-2.0pt44.5%
• You Can See Everything-3.0pt29.5%
• The Black Ball13.5%

KALSHI

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 45+1.0pt96.5%
• Above 50+1.0pt93.5%
• Above 55+1.0pt91.5%

KALSHI

Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 2092.5%
• Above 2588.5%
• Above 3081.5%

KALSHI

#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

• HOUSEWIFE+2.0pt82.5%
• Choosin' Texas+6.0pt8%
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