Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 97.3%
Yes 97.3%Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Jun 8, 23, 5:31 PM UTCMay 24, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
Manifold MarketsWill any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Fridman ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Lex Fridman interview the next US President by 2029?
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRules
Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman.
- This market will not resolve until DEFINITIVE proof emerges.
- Such proof would need to originate from an official channel, such as confirmation on Lex's twitter, podcast, etc.