Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 98.3%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 3:19 PMDec 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes98%
Volume trend
$230Jul 144d of dataJul 25
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.