Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 98.4%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 3:19 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
KalshiWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
PolymarketAvengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhich characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
PolymarketWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Polymarket[Add options] What references will be made in Avengers Doomsday?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Marvel Studios officially announces a delay to the theatrical release date of Avengers: Doomsday (currently scheduled for May 1, 2026), or if the film is released after May 1, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if the film is released on or before May 1, 2026, and no official delay is announced prior to that date.
- Official sources include announcements from Marvel Studios, The Walt Disney Company, or reputable entertainment news outlets (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline).
- Avengers: Doomsday was announced as the fifth Avengers film, with Robert Downey Jr. confirmed to return to the MCU as Victor von Doom.
- Given the complexities of blockbuster film production, release date shifts are common in the industry due to factors such as script development, visual effects backlogs, or broader studio strategy.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $73.9K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+32.0pt45.3%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams8.6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.8K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+7.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+32.0pt97%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.2K
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-2.0pt90%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+11.5pt71%
- 940 - 950m-8.5pt26%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+21.0pt78%
- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond actor?
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Avengers Doomsday to be delayed?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Avengers Doomsday to be delayed resolve?
- Avengers Doomsday to be delayed is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Avengers Doomsday to be delayed settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria