Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

One-OffSociety & Culture3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Sep 22, 22, 6:44 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Please help me improve the resolution criteria:
For the year 2025, more than half of funding rounds giving away more than 100k in total will have forecasting questions or prediction markets on whether grants will be given or if grant goals will be met.

Report a data issue with this market

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

One-OffSociety & Culture3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Sep 22, 22, 6:44 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Please help me improve the resolution criteria:
For the year 2025, more than half of funding rounds giving away more than 100k in total will have forecasting questions or prediction markets on whether grants will be given or if grant goals will be met.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.?: Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. resolve?: Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met. settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The aim of this question is to predict whether things like the clearer thinking regranting tournament will become normal. ie using forecasting to aid grantmaking.

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Frequently asked questions

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