LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -0.5% 97%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$135.6
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 1:59 PM UTCSep 18, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Above 0.0% · Above -0.4% · Above -0.1% · Above 0.2% · Above -0.3% · Above -0.2% · Above -0.5% · Above 0.1%.
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
This market does not refer to the LEI index level, its six-month change or diffusion index, the Coincident Economic Index, or the Lagging Economic Index.
Outcome verified from The Conference Board.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Above -0.5% is 98%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Above -0.5% 98% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — US Leading Economic Index change in August · Above -0.5% 98%
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $76,100 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,900 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $999.7K
- 24h Vol
- $931K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↓ 75,000+52.5pt100%
+28 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 18?
- 68,000+1.5pt100%
- 70,000+2.5pt100%
- 72,000+5.1pt99%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,500 or above+14.0pt99%
- $73,000 or above+14.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+6.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.2pt92%
- Yes+1.2pt8%
- Total Vol
- $21.6M
- 24h Vol
- $269.4K
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 17?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 18?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
- When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 19?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Limitless prices Above -0.5% at 97% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does US Leading Economic Index change in August resolve?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is US Leading Economic Index change in August settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: Above 0.0% · Above -0.4% · Above -0.1% · Above 0.2% · Above -0.3% · Above -0.2% · Above -0.5% · Above 0.1%. <p>If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above </p><p><br></p><p>0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- Where else is US Leading Economic Index change in August listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.