Current implied probability
Yes 69.4%
Yes 69.4%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$28.5
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 6:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Nikola Bartunkova.
- This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Karolina Muchova.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 68%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 68% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova · Muchova vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 72%
- Also available on Futuur — Karolina Muchova vs. Nikola Bartunkova · Yes 68%
