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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. 10-year U.S. Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
10-year U.S. Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

10-year U.S. Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Bonds & TreasuriesMonthly19d
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 50%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 2, 26, 1:47 PMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes50%

Rules

This market will resolve to “YES” if, as reported by the U.S.

Limitless
  • Department of the Treasury, the yield curve par rate for the 10-year U.S.
  • Treasury note is above 5.00% on any day on or before June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.”

    The resolution source for this market will be the official daily Treasury par yield curve rate for the 10-year U.S.

  • Treasury note, as published by the U.S.
  • Department of the Treasury on their website: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/textview.aspx?data=yield.

    Data is typically updated each trading day by 6:00 PM ET and is not released on U.S. federal holidays.

    This market may resolve as soon as the U.S.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,596.11+2.15%EthereumETH$1,652.66+1.63%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.19%

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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

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Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

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10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

$13.2
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30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

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US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$1
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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to “YES” if, as reported by the U.S.

Limitless
  • Department of the Treasury, the yield curve par rate for the 10-year U.S.
  • Treasury note is above 5.00% on any day on or before June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.”

    The resolution source for this market will be the official daily Treasury par yield curve rate for the 10-year U.S.

  • Treasury note, as published by the U.S.
  • Department of the Treasury on their website: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/textview.aspx?data=yield.

    Data is typically updated each trading day by 6:00 PM ET and is not released on U.S. federal holidays.

    This market may resolve as soon as the U.S.