KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 98 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 5:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 9499%
Above 10280%
Above 10923%
Above 10699%
Above 98Won
Above 94Lost
Above 101Lost
Above 100Lost
Above 96Lost
Above 104Lost
Above 106Lost
Above 102Lost
Above 109Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Carbon Arc Walmart Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Walmart Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.