KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Adriana Lima 11%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.7
Liquidity
$7.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 21, 26, 12:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is documented wearing a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” during Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:VogueBBC NewsFox NewsPeople MagazineThe Wall Street JournalAgence France-PresseTMZEntertainment TonightPOLITICOThe GuardianGetty ImagesThe Washington PostVarietyHarper's BazaarThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCBS NewsESPNE! NewsNBC NewsCNNthe Associated PressABC NewsBloomberg News
- The person must be photographed or video recorded with the article of clothing visibly worn on their body as intended (e.g., a jacket on the torso, not carried or draped).
- Valid documentation includes official event photography, live television coverage, professional photography from Source Agencies, or video footage from Source Agencies.
- The person must be clearly identifiable.
- Carrying, holding, or draping the item without properly wearing it does not qualify.
- Similar but not identical items do not satisfy the criterion.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Adriana Lima at 11% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026 resolve?
- Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is documented wearing a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” during Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.