KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alex Consani 99%Leader of 38 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 21, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsVogueRolling StoneMSNBCBBCReutersorganizers ofCNNBillboardNBCthe Associated PressCBSVarietyThe New York TimesBloomberg News
- To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
- Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
- Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
- The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
- Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
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+36 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
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+14 more outcomes
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KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+2 more outcomes
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- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models?
- Kalshi prices Alex Consani at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models resolve?
- Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.