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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

7.0% (24h)EntertainmentOne-OffReality TV6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Gigi Hadid
Gigi Hadid 86%-7.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.3

Liquidity

$118.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 91.0%

Spread

7.1%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 21, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Gigi Hadid86%

Rules

If Adriana Lima is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
  • Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
  • Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
  • The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
  • Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.

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Rules

If Adriana Lima is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event.
  • Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify.
  • Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count.
  • The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format.
  • Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role.