Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Politics
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (82%)
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, 1:47 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityYes 82%-1.0pt
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 97 days ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 5:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
82%
18%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.2pt0%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (100%)
100%
0%
Community forecast192 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on PredictIt
Will Virginia pass a redistricting referendum in 2026?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (92%)
+12.0pt92%
-12.0pt8%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
If a referendum that allows the state legislature to redraw Virginia's congressional map passes in Virginia before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
$2.6MJuly 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$948.7KRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
$790.5KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$694.9KJames Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$469.2KJon Ossoff: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ohio Governor winner?
$395.5KVivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsRules
If a referendum that allows the state legislature to redraw Virginia's congressional map passes in Virginia before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.