KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
4.78% or above 99%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
81%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 10, 2026, or one week following Sep 10, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.57% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.61% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.63% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.2K
- 24h Vol
- $14.5K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+27.9pt95%
- 4.91%+73.5pt90%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.87% or above98%
- 4.88% or above97%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.1K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.49% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.59% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.3K
- 24h Vol
- $7.3K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.84% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.76% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.6K
- 24h Vol
- $6.6K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above+2.0pt57%
- 5% or above+9.0pt40%
- 5.15% or above+7.0pt22%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 4.78% or above at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? resolve?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.