KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
4.92% or above 99%Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
97%
24%
10%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 10, 2026, or one week following Sep 10, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.2K
- 24h Vol
- $14.5K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+27.9pt95%
- 4.91%+73.5pt90%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.87% or above98%
- 4.88% or above97%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.1K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.49% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.59% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.3K
- 24h Vol
- $7.3K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above+2.0pt57%
- 5% or above+9.0pt40%
- 5.15% or above+7.0pt22%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.42% or above99%
- 4.46% or above99%
- 4.44% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.4K
- 24h Vol
- $5.4K
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 4.92% or above at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? resolve?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.