KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 5.123 (98%)
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 9:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 5.123
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 5.12389%
Above 5.12149%
Above 5.16329%
Above 5.16739%
Above 5.13583%
Above 5.12943%
Above 5.12552%
Above 5.12745%
Above 5.09395%
Above 5.10774%
Above 5.16920%
Above 5.1815%
Above 5.09590%
Above 5.14185%
Above 5.13782%
Above 5.13962%
Above 5.14540%
Above 5.16536%
Above 5.13141%
Above 5.16130%
Above 5.09790%
Above 5.11742%
Above 5.10394%
Above 5.1571%
Above 5.0830%
Above 5.0850%
Above 5.0870%
Above 5.0890%
Above 5.0910%
Above 5.09990%
Above 5.10194%
Above 5.10594%
Above 5.10974%
Above 5.11166%
Above 5.11350%
Above 5.11542%
Above 5.11937%
Above 5.13340%
Above 5.14339%
Above 5.14740%
Above 5.14943%
Above 5.15143%
Above 5.15345%
Above 5.15549%
Above 5.15943%
Above 5.17136%
Above 5.17336%
Above 5.17525%
Above 5.17713%
Above 5.17962%
Above 5.123Won
Above 5.121Lost
Above 5.129Lost
Above 5.125Lost
Above 5.127Lost
Above 5.101Lost
Above 5.105Lost
Above 5.093Lost
Above 5.119Lost
Above 5.099Lost
Above 5.103Lost
Above 5.117Lost
Above 5.133Lost
Above 5.131Lost
Above 5.163Lost
Above 5.159Lost
Above 5.139Lost
Above 5.109Lost
Above 5.095Lost
Above 5.111Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value of the USDBRL opening candlestick is the named outcome at 5pm ET on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - USDBRL
- The market resolves based on the open value of the USDBRL exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 18, 2026.
- If the rate is the named outcome at that time, the market resolves to Yes.
- If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified.
- If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.