PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Sotheby's 68%-0.5pt
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.9
Liquidity
$41.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 59.0%
Spread
54.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 9:33 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Christie's" if Christie's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year.
- This market will resolve to "Sotheby's" if Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Christie's.
- For the purposes of this market, a house's "announced total sales" is the headline global full-year figure that the house itself publishes for the 2026 calendar year, including projections, in its own year-end results announcement or press release, expressed in US dollars.
- Each figure will be used exactly as the house publishes it, with no adjustment for differences in what the two houses include in their totals.
- In 2025, this included Christie's total global sales as reported by Christie's (see: https://press.christies.com/62b-projected-global-sales-in-2025/), and Sotheby's consolidated sales as reported by Sotheby's (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/articles/sothebys-projects-2025-consolidated-sales-of-7-billion/).
- Both figures will be compared in US dollars.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total??
- Polymarket prices Sotheby's at 68% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? resolve?
- Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.
- How is Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Christie's" if Christie's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year.