KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Trends
Above 81,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
Above 81,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
Above 80,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
Above 80,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 97% ·
Above 83,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 18% ·
Above 83,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 15% ·
Above 82,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 82,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 85,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 84,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 85,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 84,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 86,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 86,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 87,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Above 78,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
Above 78,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
Above 79,000 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
Above 79,500 MWAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
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KalshiWill oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8250 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8900 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 27, 2026 is above
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- 78,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 27, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
