KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Billionaire (99%)
Resolved: Sep 28, 2026, 3:27 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Billionaire
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
93%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 3:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Event does not qualify24%
Billionaire85%
Tuition70%
Zohran / Mamdani10%
Elon / Musk56%
Corrupt / Corruption81%
Healthcare84%
Tariff43%
Trump (3+ times)75%
ICE73%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Republican82%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Socialist / Socialism14%
Supreme Court / SCOTUS67%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability32%
BillionaireWon
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
TuitionLost
Corrupt / CorruptionLost
Elon / MuskLost
ClimateLost
HealthcareLost
Gaza / Israel / PalestineLost
TariffLost
Trump (3+ times)Lost
ICELost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
RepublicanLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Socialist / SocialismLost
Supreme Court / SCOTUSLost
Zohran / MamdaniLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says Billionaire as part of more perfect university: students vs billionaires town hall originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the more perfect university: students vs billionaires town hall originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the more perfect university: students vs billionaires town hall originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking in an official capacity.