KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 14 million · —
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Stored price
Above 16 million 70.8%Market line of 5 lines
Above 16 million 70.8%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 14 millionSpread
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Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Nov 12, 26, 2:00 AM UTCDec 23, 26, 7:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 14 million
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Rules
If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 16 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:USDA NASS — Poultry Slaughter
- The source is USDA NASS's Poultry Slaughter report, table "Poultry Slaughtered, Total Live Weight, and Average Live Weight by Type – United States", Slaughtered section, Turkeys – Total row, for November 2026. This includes young and old turkeys slaughtered under federal inspection. Use the first published estimate for this reporting month, including preliminary data; subsequent revisions are disregarded. Values reported in 1,000 head are divided by 1,000 to obtain millions of turkeys. This measures slaughter, not retail sales or consumption.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 14 million
- If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 14 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15 million
- If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 15 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16 million
- If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 16 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17 million
- If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 17 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18 million
- If total U.S. federally inspected turkey slaughter for November 2026 is above 18 million turkeys, the market resolves to Yes.
