KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probability60 or above 37%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
2.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 10:16 PMJul 4, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
60 or above37%
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If Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at remarks at Mount Rushmore before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Speaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump.
- Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points.
- Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 35 or above minutes at remarks at Mount Rushmore before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 40 or above minutes at remarks at Mount Rushmore before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.