KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability45 or above 1%-60.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$177.2K
Liquidity
$113.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 2, 26, 6:19 PMJul 5, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
1%
99%
2%
99%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Related Markets
What will Trump say during his July 4th rally?
$1.9MCrypto / Bitcoin: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$555.7KGavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$422.1KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$266.8KRobert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
$238.2KJohn Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say this week?
$216.3K50,000: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRoss impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
If Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Speaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump.
- Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points.
- Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 35 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 40 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.