KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Transgender (99%)
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, 11:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Transgender
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability250 1%-72.0%Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$706.5K
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJul 1, 26, 9:02 PMJul 17, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
2501%
World Cup63%
Hormuz75%
Transgender20%
Crypto / Bitcoin27%
Anthropic / Claude28%
Barack Hussein Obama30%
Event does not qualify1%
Biden63%
Nuclear70%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat37%
Hottest73%
AI / Artificial Intelligence63%
Iran (3+ times)66%
Fake News59%
Warsh71%
Tariff59%
Gas / Gasoline73%
Stock Market86%
Election65%
Supreme Court78%
Oil88%
Democrat84%
China / Chinese78%
1%
1%
1%
99%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the CNBC - Fast Money will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNBC - Fast Money will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.