KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Keir Starmer (99%)
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, 3:24 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keir Starmer
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityKeir Starmer 99%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
21 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.2K
Liquidity
$684.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 2:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Mohammed bin Salman2%
Zohran Mamdani2%
Jensen Huang5%
Xi Jinping2%
Ron DeSantis5%
María Corina Machado2%
Lai Ching-te2%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan2%
Chuck Schumer5%
Gavin Newsom21%
Keir Starmer99%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy99%
Reza Pahlavi1%
Hakeem Jeffries1%
Benjamin Netanyahu99%
Jerome Powell3%
Vladimir Putin99%
Mark Carney99%
Delcy Rodriguez99%
Narendra Modi99%
John Thune95%
Sanae Takaichi99%
8%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Keir Starmer
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $34.9K | $0 | 22 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 99% | — | $18.2K | $684.6 | 26 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will Trump speak to in June?
3.4 ptsClosed
+0.1pt100%
+75.0pt100%
+48.9pt100%
+18 more outcomes
46 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$34.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A meeting is defined as any of the following:
- An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time
- The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive):
- Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations
- The following do NOT qualify as meetings:
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.2k99.1%POLYMARKETWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? — NoRex41624d ago
POLYMARKETWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? — NoRex41624d agoRelated Markets
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If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A meeting is defined as any of the following:
- An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time
- The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive):
- Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations
- The following do NOT qualify as meetings: