KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMohammed bin Salman 99%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$37.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 100.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:00 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mohammed bin Salman99%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 210d of dataJul 11
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If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A meeting is defined as any of the following:
- An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time
- The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive):
- Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations
- The following do NOT qualify as meetings: