Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

0.9% (24h)One-OffUS Politics

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (96%)

Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 2:43 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 96%-0.9%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$146.8

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

97.0% / 99.0%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

Jan 12, 26, 8:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

-0.9%

96%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the Supreme Court, in West Virginia v.

B.P.J. or Little v.
Hecox, rules to uphold state laws restricting transgender athletes in sports, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision in West Virginia v.
Hecox holding that the Equal Protection Clause or Title IX does not prohibit states from designating sports teams based on biological sex, after Issuance and before January 1, 2027.
The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that such restrictions are unconstitutional or unlawful.

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Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

0.9% (24h)One-OffUS Politics

KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (96%)

Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 2:43 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 96%-0.9%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$146.8

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

97.0% / 99.0%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

Jan 12, 26, 8:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Yes

-0.9%

96%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the Supreme Court, in West Virginia v.

B.P.J. or Little v.
Hecox, rules to uphold state laws restricting transgender athletes in sports, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision in West Virginia v.
Hecox holding that the Equal Protection Clause or Title IX does not prohibit states from designating sports teams based on biological sex, after Issuance and before January 1, 2027.
The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that such restrictions are unconstitutional or unlawful.

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

$1M

JD Vance: 20%

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$694.3K

Robert F. Kennedy: 49%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$513.4K

Gavin Newsom: 21%