KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 877.3M · —
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Stored price
Above 877.3M 98%Leader of 6 outcomes
Above 877.3M 98%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$550
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 877.3MSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 6:40 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 877.3M
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Music Industry: Total USA Pure Album Sales in 2026
KalshiPress Play: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiHeavy Is The Crown: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiWatch Dis: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiWill Spotify still be a popular music streaming service in 2 years
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Music Industry has above 1.4B USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Luminate
- Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 877.3M
- If the Music Industry has above 877.3M USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 952.7M
- If the Music Industry has above 952.7M USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.1B
- If the Music Industry has above 1.1B USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.2B
- If the Music Industry has above 1.2B USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.3B
- If the Music Industry has above 1.3B USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.4B
- If the Music Industry has above 1.4B USA total Album Equivalent Units on Luminate from Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.