KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityclaude-opus-5-high 14%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.8K
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 4:42 PMAug 3, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
claude-opus-5-high14%
Volume trend
$11.8kJul 272d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Top AI model in July?
$169.8Kclaude-opus-4-6-thinking: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
$69.9K1500+: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$68K↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI model on August 1?
$35.1KOther: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
$22.9KQwen: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
$19.1KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 22%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptRules
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.